The Weather Thread

[T-Bird76]

From the NWS Forecast Discussion:

eh you want to translate that to English please????

[pgengler]

The Forecast Discussion is something that the NWS meteorologists put out (here's the one for the NYC area) where they explain some of the details that go in to putting out the forecast. They have a bunch of different weather models that they run and they'll sometimes mention how the results differ and which ones they chose to use/combine for the forecast. (I don't know any of the details about the various models but I'm sure you could find more.) I find it useful for getting a bigger picture of the possibilities; the discussion will frequently talk about some of the variables that might affect how severe a storm is.

For the bit that I quoted, it seems like the various models are all giving different outcomes at this point; they're going to talk to some other people and run the models again later to hopefully get a better prediction.

[T-Bird76]

The Forecast Discussion is something that the NWS meteorologists put out (here's the one for the NYC area) where they explain some of the details that go in to putting out the forecast. They have a bunch of different weather models that they run and they'll sometimes mention how the results differ and which ones they chose to use/combine for the forecast. (I don't know any of the details about the various models but I'm sure you could find more.) I find it useful for getting a bigger picture of the possibilities; the discussion will frequently talk about some of the variables that might affect how severe a storm is.

For the bit that I quoted, it seems like the various models are all giving different outcomes at this point; they're going to talk to some other people and run the models again later to hopefully get a better prediction.

Ah so they basically have no idea what this storm is going to do...so nothing new then lolol

[Matt Molnar]

Winter Storm Watch issued, NWS now forecasting 4-8 inches Wednesday night...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1200 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...

CTZ009>012-NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-260600-
/O.EXB.KOKX.WS.A.0004.110126T1800Z-110127T1500Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-
EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1200 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY
METROPOLITAN AREA...LONG ISLAND...AND COASTAL CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW...WITH A PERIOD OF A RAIN AND SLEET MIX AT
THE ONSET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTH AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP 30 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN TURNING NORTHWEST THURSDAY
MORNING. HIGHEST WINDS EAST.

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE HAZARDOUS DURING THE WEDNESDAY EVENING
COMMUTE AND THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW
FALLING OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

[Gerard]

Hey this thread has been quiet since winter ended.
BUT......
Nasty storm coming in now and looks to get worse later for the NYC/LI area with heavy rain, winds, flooding and maybe even T-Storms.
This is a storm that has been moving through the country and is responsible for at least 17 deaths including 7 in Alabama.
The airports already have long delays especially arrivals. So if you are going out tonite be careful.

[Zee71]

Have been listening to ATC, and lots of go arounds because of missed approaches or just too close to the other aircrafts. The winds are nuts.....15 to 30 knots! I have a feeling it's going to get worse.

[Gerard]

Have been listening to ATC, and lots of go arounds because of missed approaches or just too close to the other aircrafts. The winds are nuts.....15 to 30 knots! I have a feeling it's going to get worse.

I 've been out a few times in the last few hours and they are howling pretty nicely. The kind you can hear the gusts coming at you through the trees.

[yankees368]

Holy $*#& that was bad today! Came in on DL 1548 tonight to LGA, and man was it a wild ride! We were actually hit by lighting about 30 minutes out from LGA. Landing was very rough and tense. http://flightaware.com/live/flight/DAL1548

However, the flight I was originally on (was delayed because the pilots seat broke!) had what looks to be a much worse time. Judging by the tracker, they must have aborted a landing! But, I bet they didnt get hit by lightning. http://flightaware.com/live/flight/D.../KLGA/tracklog

[Gerard]

Holy $*#& that was bad today! Came in on DL 1548 tonight to LGA, and man was it a wild ride! We were actually hit by lighting about 30 minutes out from LGA. Landing was very rough and tense. http://flightaware.com/live/flight/DAL1548

Wow thats pretty crazy. We had heavy rain and wind and just some flashes of lightning and thunder. The thunder though seemed to rumble for a minute with each burst.
But we were lucky compared to other areas.......
http://www.aolnews.com/2011/04/17/at...1_lnk3%7C56626

[AirtrafficController]

Thank god we didn't get the severe weather what they had in North Carolina. 105 tornado reports! Sadly 24 people have been killed.
One of the very strong tornadoes destroyed a Lowe's: http://twitpic.com/4lpcd8

[Gerard]

Wow there are some crazy killer storms out there and they look to be heading our way tomorrow afternoon. Not sure how bad it will be when it gets here but it would pay for all to stay alert.

http://www.aolnews.com/2011/04/27/mo...1_lnk1%7C59012

[Gerard]

Wow there are some crazy killer storms out there and they look to be heading our way tomorrow afternoon. Not sure how bad it will be when it gets here but it would pay for all to stay alert.
http://www.aolnews.com/2011/04/27/mo...1_lnk1%7C59012

Not so bad here in the Tri-state area but my god at least 284!!!!!! dead in the south including 194 in Alabama!! That is horrible!!

[hiss srq]

A quite substantial thunderstorm moved through JFK early this morning. It created quite the light show.

[Gerard]

A quite substantial thunderstorm moved through JFK early this morning. It created quite the light show.

Kinda woke me up. Turned over and back to sleep. Loved that. If it wasnt a holiday I would have been slogging through that!!

[hiss srq]

It was not too bad. Shut down 22 departures and arrivals for about 20 minutes or so. It moved in fast. Delta 737 taxied onto the runway, started his roll and aboarted 5 seconds into it because it moved in. The downpour on the front side of it was soo bad that from up top I could see the rain drops bouncing on taxiways and runways. Didn't even make a dent though in JFK which was nice. By the time the departure gates opened back up there were still only 5 waiting to take off and maybe 4 airplanes from various airlines holding near BDL and SWF up in the mid 20's. However, current forcasting is hinting at some very strong storms this afternoon with tops anticipated in the mid to high 40's possibly hail producing.